Compounding Energy

Compounding Energy

Quantitative tools for European power markets.

We forecast day-ahead and multi-day electricity prices, generation mix, and cross-border flows — so traders, asset operators, and analysts can make better decisions with numbers they can trust.

£31 / MWh

10-day GB price MAE (validated on 90-day walk-forward backtest)

8 zones

GB, FR, DE, NL, BE, IE, NO2, DK1 — covered day one

< 60 s

Cold-start forecast latency, data-to-response

Two products. One complete market view.

GridSight forecasts European electricity prices and dispatch. Compound Vision forecasts US wind and solar generation from physics. Together they represent our approach: transparent, auditable forecasting grounded in first principles.

GridSight

Electricity price, demand, and dispatch forecasting

10-day price forecasts across 8 European bidding zones. Physics-based dispatch fused with gradient boosted machines and quantile distribution matching. Validated £31/MWh MAE on a 90-day walk-forward backtest.

  • Day-ahead and multi-day price forecasts
  • Generation mix by fuel type
  • Carbon intensity tracking
  • Nightly retrain with regression gate

Compound Vision

US wind and solar power forecasting from first principles

Hourly power forecasts for 7,979 public CONUS wind and solar farms — plus your own custom assets. Pure physics: Monin-Obukhov stability, manufacturer power curves, Perez transposition, 30+ documented steps. Probabilistic P10–P90 bands that widen honestly when specs are inferred.

  • 16-day horizon via Open-Meteo NWP models
  • P10 / P50 / P90 bands with inference-aware widening
  • Individual farm physics, not fleet-level averages
  • 3D CesiumJS globe with 7,979 farms

Built for

Power traders

Multi-day price tracks feed directly into day-ahead and intraday positioning. Calibrated tails for risk limits.

Asset operators

Dispatch your battery, CHP, or flexible load against a price curve that actually matches what the market does.

Analysts & researchers

Programmatic access to historical forecasts, backtests, and generation-mix breakdowns. Reproducible, auditable.